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Showing posts with label CS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CS. Show all posts

Friday, June 24, 2016

Market update: S&P 500 post Brexit referendum (24 June 2016)

  • The S&P 500 fell 3.6 percent to 2,037.35, the most since August 24. The benchmark erased its gain for the year, which reached as much as 3.7 percent earlier this month. It closed at 2,037.30, down 76.02. The Dow dropped 611.21 points, or 3.4 percent, to 17,399.86, amid the biggest retreat since January.  The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 4.1 percent, the most in almost five years, to end the day at 4,707.98, a 202.06 point drop.  

  • U.S. stocks plunged the most in 10 months, joining a selloff in global risk assets on speculation that the U.K. decision to leave the European Union will hamper worldwide growth. Banks and industrial shares capped their worst single-day declines in more than four years.


    SPY before (6/23) and after (6/24) the Brexit vote

    The pound plunged the most in 30 years and European equities dropped as investors weighed the implications for the global economy.

    As if results of the U.K. vote wasn’t enough, today is also the date of the annual rebalancing of FTSE Russell’s stock indexes, a procedure that reliably exacerbates trading. In 2015, the reconstitution helped fuel a jump in volume to more than 10 billion shares, the seventh-highest total of the year.

    London bookies blew the Brexit call: none of the UK pollsters, bookmakers and city experts realized there was a huge groundswell of anger.


    Declines Friday also came after markets had rallied during the past week on optimism the U.K. would vote to remain in the EU, with the S&P 500 rising 1.7 percent in four sessions.

    The vote comes at a time when uncertainty already plagues U.S. stocks, with questions around the Fed’s ability to stoke growth after the worst month for hiring since 2010, a four-quarter decline in corporate profits, price-earnings ratios that are close to a decade high and a presidential election looming in the fall.

    The S&P 500 plunged 11 percent in its worst-ever start to a year before recovering through April. It’s
    virtually been stuck in place since, struggling to hold above the 2,100 level that has capped three rallies since November. It fell from that perch again after closing above it Thursday for the first time in two weeks.


    FXB



    European banks

    Thursday, February 4, 2016

    =Credit Suisse (CS) reported 4Q earnings on Thur 4 Feb 2016 (before open)

    ** charts before earnings **




    ** charts after earnings **








    Credit Suisse misses by CHF0.53, misses on revs :
    • Reports Q4 (Dec) loss of CHF0.29 per share, CHF0.53 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of CHF0.24; revenues fell 34.0% year/year to CHF4.21 bln vs the CHF5.04 bln single analyst estimate.
    • Negative impact from volatile market conditions and widening credit spreads on a number of legacy positions in fixed income business
    • Look-through CET1 ratio of 11.4%; Look-through CET1 leverage ratio of 3.3
    • Board of Directors proposes cash distribution of CHF 0.70 per share for 2015, with optional scrip alternative