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Thursday, July 5, 2012

Market outlook 5 July 2012 : S&P 500 a powerful price ceiling remains intact

S&P 500 a powerful price ceiling remains intact

Resistance is defined as a zone where supply becomes stronger than demand and prices stop rising. It does not necessarily mean prices will start falling, however. If the market can absorb the supply of shares for sale - we'll know that if prices hold their ground here for a few days - then the odds that last Friday was more than a one-day wonder rally increase. It is less likely that the market can make new highs if it suffers a steep fall from its current position on the charts first.



Right now, the amount of time spent trading sideways this past spring season and the number of times it traded up and down within that span tells us resistance is quite strong at these levels. There are likely a lot of people who bought earlier in the year during the very hot first quarter, held on during the May sell-off and are now eager to sell their shares if they can "get out even."


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